Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.287670 0.329948 0.375315 0.427502 0.485757 0.548665 0.621612
2025-12-07 0.214701 0.270773 0.335763 0.416170 0.512458 0.623515 0.760717
2025-12-14 0.167161 0.230715 0.309890 0.414593 0.548091 0.711183 0.923891
2025-12-21 0.129336 0.194943 0.282557 0.405913 0.572545 0.786969 1.080396
2025-12-28 0.108484 0.177256 0.275049 0.420589 0.627297 0.905335 1.301493
2026-01-04 0.091836 0.162069 0.268026 0.434015 0.680751 1.026040 1.535869
2026-01-11 0.076127 0.145018 0.255151 0.436410 0.717714 1.126206 1.749506
2026-01-18 0.063223 0.129785 0.242319 0.436408 0.750006 1.221187 1.962014
2026-01-25 0.052538 0.116093 0.229550 0.434198 0.777654 1.310342 2.171335
2026-02-01 0.043995 0.104479 0.218285 0.432495 0.805041 1.400109 2.386649
2026-02-08 0.036922 0.094163 0.207547 0.429897 0.829913 1.486787 2.601847
2026-02-15 0.030850 0.084529 0.196420 0.424822 0.849383 1.565251 2.808012
2026-02-22 0.026919 0.078895 0.192485 0.433020 0.893544 1.688659 3.096766
2026-03-01 0.022470 0.070929 0.182422 0.427994 0.913120 1.771812 3.324424
2026-03-08 0.019303 0.065363 0.176553 0.430491 0.946662 1.881043 3.602245
2026-03-15 0.016073 0.058714 0.167059 0.424109 0.962329 1.959424 3.831477
2026-03-22 0.014645 0.056823 0.168394 0.441039 1.025067 2.126272 4.223849
2026-03-29 0.013277 0.054743 0.168908 0.456127 1.085202 2.291792 4.622313
2026-04-05 0.011543 0.050970 0.164473 0.459333 1.121019 2.413908 4.948910
2026-04-12 0.009947 0.047138 0.159180 0.459781 1.150867 2.526196 5.262984
2026-04-19 0.008498 0.043323 0.153208 0.457754 1.175015 2.628610 5.563578
2026-04-26 0.007276 0.039913 0.147721 0.456154 1.199757 2.733321 5.873229
2026-05-03 0.006206 0.036690 0.142147 0.453549 1.221840 2.833721 6.179171